2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election

2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election

September 23, 2025

Arizona's 7th congressional district
 
Nominee Adelita Grijalva Daniel Butierez
Party Democratic Republican

U.S. Representative before election

Raúl Grijalva
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

TBD

A special election will be held on September 23, 2025, to fill Arizona's 7th congressional district for the remainder of the 119th United States Congress. Primary elections were held on July 15. The seat became vacant following the death of incumbent Democrat Raúl Grijalva on March 13, 2025.[1] It is considered a safely Democratic district.[2]

Background

Incumbent Raúl Grijalva died in office on March 13, 2025, from complications from cancer treatment at age 77 after being diagnosed with lung cancer on April 2, 2024.[1]

Writing for The Arizona Republic in May, Laura Gersony noted that the "leading candidates" were Daniel Hernández Jr., Adelita Grijalva, and Deja Foxx; further noting that Hernández held an initial lead in fundraising stemming from supporters of Israel and that Grijalva would likely benefit from some of the campaign infrastructure built by her father.[3] Grijalva received the endorsement of both of Arizona's U.S. Senators, Mark Kelly and Ruben Gallego, and a number of Democratic political organizations, including EMILY's List and Giffords.[4][5][6]

Grijalva won the Democratic primary on July 15, and will face Republican painting contractor Daniel Butierez.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Deja Foxx
Adelita Grijalva
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Tribal nations
Daniel Hernández Jr.
Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Notable individuals
Labor unions
Organizations
Declined to endorse
Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Deja
Foxx
Adelita
Grijalva
Daniel
Hernández
Other Undecided
Change Research (D)[A] June 26–29, 2025 540 (LV) ± 4.5% 35% 43% 9% 3%[b] 11%
Change Research (D)[A] May 13–16, 2025 530 (LV) ± 4.4% 10% 41% 16% 2%[c] 32%
Public Policy Polling (D)[B] April 7–8, 2025 527 (LV) ± 4.3% 5% 49% 11% 35%

Debates

2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election Democratic primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Foxx Grijalva Harris Hernández Malvido
1 May 27, 2025 KAET[49] Ted Simons [50] P P P P P
2 June 10, 2025 Arizona Public Media[51] Steve Goldstein, Nohelani Graf [52] P P P P P

Results

Results by county
Grijalva
  50–60%
  60–70%
Democratic primary results[53]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Adelita Grijalva 38,679 61.48%
Democratic Deja Foxx 14,078 22.38%
Democratic Daniel Hernández Jr. 8,541 13.58%
Democratic Patrick Harris 925 1.47%
Democratic Jose Malvido Jr. 687 1.09%
Total votes 62,910 100.00%
Results by county[54]
Town Foxx Grijalva Harris Hernández Jr. Malvido Jr. Total
Cochise 646 22.17% 1,888 64.79% 35 1.20% 326 11.19% 19 0.65% 2,914
Maricopa 1,122 21.69% 2,739 52.95% 109 2.11% 1,167 22.56% 36 0.70% 5,173
Pima 10,880 23.93% 27,923 61.42% 622 1.37% 5,512 12.12% 525 1.16% 45,462
Pinal 31 14.90% 120 57.69% 7 3.37% 45 21.64% 5 2.40% 208
Santa Cruz 696 15.08% 3,087 66.88% 68 1.47% 717 15.53% 48 1.04% 4,616
Yuma 703 15.50% 2,922 64.40% 84 1.85% 774 17.06% 54 1.19% 4,537

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Daniel Butierez, painting contractor and nominee for this district in 2024[55]

Eliminated in primary

  • Jorge Rivas, restaurant owner[56]
  • Jimmy Rodriguez, businessman[56]

Endorsements

Jorge Rivas
Local officials

Debates

2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election Republican primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Republican Republican Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Butierez Rivas Rodriguez
1 May 29, 2025 KAET[57] Ted Simons [58] P P A
2 June 9, 2025 Arizona Public Media[51] Steve Goldstein, Nohelani Graf [59] P P P

Results

Republican primary results[53]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Daniel Butierez 11,121 60.89%
Republican Jorge Rivas 4,594 25.15%
Republican Jimmy Rodriguez 2,549 13.96%
Total votes 18,264 100.00%
Results by county[60]
Town Butierez Rivas Rodriguez Total
Cochise 446 51.86% 303 35.23% 111 12.91% 860
Maricopa 824 46.29% 603 33.88% 353 19.83% 1,780
Pima 7,309 62.15% 2,871 24.41% 1,580 13.44% 11,760
Pinal 170 60.71% 78 27.86% 32 11.43% 280
Santa Cruz 936 68.22% 282 20.55% 154 11.22% 1,372
Yuma 1,434 64.89% 457 20.68% 319 14.43% 2,210

Green primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Eduardo Quintana, former chair of the Pima County Green Party and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2024 (write-in)[11]
  • Gary Swing, organic produce clerk and perennial candidate (write-in)[61]

Results

Green primary results[53]
Party Candidate Votes %
Green Eduardo Quintana (write-in) 42 95.45%
Green Gary Swing (write-in) 2 4.55%
Total votes 44 100.00%

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Andy Fernandez (write-in)[11]

Results

Libertarian primary results[53]
Party Candidate Votes %
Libertarian Andy Fernandez (write-in) 19 100.00%
Total votes 19 100.00%

No Labels primary

Candidates

Declared

Results

No Labels primary results[53]
Party Candidate Votes %
No Labels Richard Grayson (write-in) 1 100.00%
Total votes 1 100.00%

Write-in candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[69] Solid D August 13, 2025
Inside Elections[70] Solid D June 30, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[71] Safe D August 14, 2025

Results

2025 Arizona's 7th congressional district special election[62]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Adelita Grijalva
Republican Daniel Butierez
Green Eduardo Quintana
No Labels Richard Grayson
Write-in
Total votes 100.0

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Malvido with 3%; Harris with 0%
  3. ^ Harris and Malvido with 1%
Partisan clients
  1. ^ a b Poll sponsored by Foxx's campaign
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Grijalva's campaign

References

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  2. ^ Pallack, Becky; Washington, John (June 16, 2025). "Half the candidates in Southern Arizona's congressional special election don't live in District 7". AZ Luminaria. Retrieved June 16, 2025.
  3. ^ Gersony, Laura (May 5, 2025). "Money floods into Tucson special congressional election, but a lot remains out of view". The Arizona Republic. Retrieved May 5, 2025.
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Official campaign websites
Official campaign websites for candidates who did not advance from primaries