2026 California gubernatorial election

2026 California gubernatorial election

November 3, 2026 (2026-11-03)

Incumbent Governor

Gavin Newsom
Democratic



The 2026 California gubernatorial election will take place on November 3, 2026, to elect the next governor of California. The nonpartisan top-two primary election will take place on June 2, 2026. Incumbent Democratic Governor Gavin Newsom is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a third term.

As of July 2025, over a dozen candidates have already declared a campaign, with the field of candidates expected to expand. Republicans have not won any statewide race in the state since 2006 and have not held any statewide office in California since 2011.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Raji Rab, pilot and perennial candidate[10]

Publicly expressed interest

Withdrawn

Declined

Republican Party

Declared

Publicly expressed interest

Declined

Green Party

Declared

Peace and Freedom Party

Declared

  • Ramsey Robinson, school social worker[a][31]

No party preference

Publicly expressed interest

  • Ethan Penner, real estate investor[32]

Declined

Primary election

Endorsements

Toni Atkins (D)
U.S. representatives
Statewide officials
State legislators
Local officials
Labor unions
Organizations
Xavier Becerra (D)
Executive branch officials
Chad Bianco (R)
Executive branch officials
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Organizations
Stephen Cloobeck (D)
Individuals
Steve Hilton (R)
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Individuals
Katie Porter (D)
Organizations
Tony Thurmond (D)
U.S. Representatives
State legislators
Antonio Villaraigosa (D)
U.S. senators
Individuals
Butch Ware (G)
Political parties
Eleni Kounalakis (D) (withdrawn)
Executive branch officials
U.S. senators
U.S. representatives
State legislators
Local officials
Kamala Harris (D) (declined)
State officials

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Toni
Atkins (D)
Xavier
Becerra (D)
Chad
Bianco (R)
Steve
Hilton (R)
Eleni
Kounalakis (D)
Katie
Porter (D)
Tony
Thurmond (D)
Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)
Betty
Yee (D)
Other Undecided
August 8, 2025 Kounalakis withdraws from the race
Emerson College[78] August 4–5, 2025 1000 (RV) ± 3% 2% 3% 7% 12% 3% 18% 1% 5% 2% 11%[e] 38%
Emerson College[79] April 12–14, 2025 899 (LV) ± 3.2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 12% 2% 5% 3% 12%[f] 54%
Hypothetical polling

with John Cox

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Toni
Atkins (D)
Xavier
Becerra (D)
John
Cox (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Eleni
Kounalakis (D)
Katie
Porter (D)
Tony
Thurmond (D)
Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)
Betty
Yee (D)
Other
Capitol Weekly[80] February 3–7, 2025 692 (RV) 2% 4% 21% 23% 2% 16% 1% 2% 2% 27%[g]
1073[h] 3% 5% 21% 5% 26% 2% 3% 3% 30%[i]

with Brian Dahle

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Toni
Atkins (D)
Xavier
Becerra (D)
Chad
Bianco (R)
Brian
Dahle (R)
Steve
Hilton (R)
Eleni
Kounalakis (D)
Katie
Porter (D)
Tony
Thurmond (D)
Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)
Betty
Yee (D)
Other Undecided
USC/CSU Long Beach/
Cal Poly Pomona[81]
September 12–25, 2024 1,685 (LV) ± 2.4% 1% 3% 5% 5% 4% 2% 14% 1% 3% 3% 9%[j] 50%
Tulchin Research (D)[82][A] August 8–12, 2024 800 (LV) ± 3.5% 13% 10% 10% 4% 4% 13% 7% 39%

with Steve Garvey

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Toni
Atkins (D)
Xavier
Becerra (D)
Chad
Bianco (R)
Steve
Garvey (R)
Eleni
Kounalakis (D)
Katie
Porter (D)
Tony
Thurmond (D)
Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)
Betty
Yee (D)
Other Undecided
Breakthrough Campaigns[83][B] November 22–26, 2024 1,228 (LV) ± 2.8% 1% 2% 6% 18% 8% 21% 3% 3% 3% 23%[k] 12%
3% 6% 14% 21% 9% 24% 2% 3% 6% 1%[l] 11%

with Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Toni
Atkins (D)
Chad
Bianco (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Eleni
Kounalakis (D)
Katie
Porter (D)
Tony
Thurmond (D)
Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)
Betty
Yee (D)
Other Undecided
Emerson College[79] April 12–14, 2025 911 (LV) ± 3.2% 1% 4% 31% 2% 8% 1% 2% 1% 11%[m] 39%

"Democratic Primary Poll"[n]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Toni
Atkins (D)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Eleni
Kounalakis (D)
Katie
Porter (D)
Tony
Thurmond (D)
Antonio
Villaraigosa (D)
Betty
Yee (D)
Other Undecided
Emerson College[84][C] February 10–11, 2025 469 (RV) ± 4.5% 3% 57% 4% 9% 1% 4% 2% 5%[o] 17%
3% 5% 21% 3% 9% 3% 12%[p] 45%

Debates

2026 California gubernatorial primary debate
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Atkins Kounalakis Thurmond Yee
1 Sep. 29, 2024 National Union of Healthcare Workers
Los Angeles Times, The Associated Press, Politico
Laurel Rosenhall
Lisa Matthews
Melanie Mason
YouTube P P P P

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[85] Solid D January 23, 2025
Inside Elections[86] Solid D February 6, 2025
Sabato's Crystal Ball[87] Safe D May 1, 2025
Race to the WH[88] Safe D August 9, 2025

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Robinson is a member of both the Peace and Freedom Party and the Party for Socialism and Liberation.
  2. ^ When the article was published, San Diego had 8 city councilors, all 8 of whom endorsed Atkins. A ninth councilor was sworn in after the 2024 election.
  3. ^ She held this seat as a Democrat and switched to Republican in 2024.
  4. ^ a b c d e f Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  5. ^ "Someone else" with 7%; Rick Caruso (D) with 4%
  6. ^ "Someone else" with 5%; Kyle Langford (R) with 2%; Stephen Cloobeck (D), Daniel Mercuri (R), Jimmy Parker (R) and Brandon Jones (R) with 1%; Sharifah Hardie (R), Butch Ware (G), Michael Younger (D), and Leo Zacky (R) with 0%
  7. ^ Lanhee Chen (R) with 10%; Rick Caruso (D) with 8%; Rob Bonta (D) with 7%; Laphonza Butler (D) with 2%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 0%
  8. ^ Total says 1073, but numbers add up to 1071
  9. ^ Rob Bonta (D) and Lanhee Chen (R) with 9%; Rick Caruso (D) with 8%; Laphonza Butler (D) with 4%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 0%
  10. ^ Rob Bonta (D) with 4%; Rick Caruso (D) with 3%; Lanhee Chen (R) with 2%
  11. ^ Brian Dahle (R) with 9%; Rob Bonta (D) with 6%; Rick Caruso with 5%; Laphonza Butler (D) with 3%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 0%
  12. ^ Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 1%
  13. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Kyle Langford (R) with 2%; Stephen Cloobeck (D), Sharifah Hardie (R), Brandon Jones (R), and Jimmy Parker (R) with 1%; Daniel Mercuri (R), Butch Ware (G), Michael Younger (D), and Leo Zacky (R) with 0%
  14. ^ Survey asked only Democratic voters. In California, all candidates run on the same ballot in a “blanket primary.”
  15. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) and Michael Younger (D) with 1%
  16. ^ "Someone else" with 8%; Stephen Cloobeck (D) with 3%; and Michael Younger (D) with under 1%

Partisan and media clients

  1. ^ This poll was sponsored by Villaraigosa's campaign
  2. ^ This poll was sponsored by Woman Up
  3. ^ This poll was sponsored by Inside California Politics and The Hill

References

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Official campaign websites