2024 Washington Public Lands Commissioner election

2024 Washington Public Lands Commissioner election

November 5, 2024
 
Candidate Dave Upthegrove Jaime Herrera Beutler
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 1,969,936 1,765,121
Percentage 52.62% 47.15%

Upthegrove:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Herrera Beutler:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%      No votes

Public Lands Commissioner before election

Hilary Franz
Democratic

Elected Public Lands Commissioner

Dave Upthegrove
Democratic

The 2024 Washington Public Lands Commissioner election was held on November 5, 2024. Democrat Dave Upthegrove, a King County councilmember, defeated Republican Jaime Herrera Beutler, a former U.S. Representative from Washington's 3rd congressional district.[1] The top-two primary was held on August 6.[2] Incumbent Public Lands Commissioner Hilary Franz, elected in 2016 and re-elected in 2020, did not seek a third term, opting to run instead for governor.[3][4]

The primary saw a close race with the Democratic vote split across five candidates, causing a recount in order to determine the winners and narrowly avoiding a lockout for the Democratic Party.[5]

Background

Current Public Lands Commissioner Hilary Franz, elected in 2016 and re-elected in 2020, did not seek a third term. She initially chose to run for governor, later dropping out of that race to instead run for the U.S. House.[6] During the primary election, the race drew many candidates, including five Democrats and two Republicans. It was suggested that the numerous Democratic candidates might split the vote enough so that the two Republican candidates advance to the general election, locking out Democrats from the office.[7]

The results of the primary election had Republican Jaime Herrera Beutler lead while the second-place position remained tight between Democrat Dave Upthegrove and Republican Sue Kuehl Pederson, with a margin of only 51 votes between the two. This triggered an automatic hand recount per Washington state laws.[8][9] After a recount and certification of the results showed Upthegrove with a lead of 49 votes, he advanced to the general election thus ensuring that Democrats would not be locked out of the general election.[10]

During their campaigns, both Upthegrove and Beutler focused on the protection and management of forests and public lands albeit with differing views of how such aims would be achieved. Upthegrove emphasized preservation of public lands, especially legacy forests (mature natural forests), and maintaining a balance between conservation and economical value of the forests. Beutler focused on the generation of revenue via logging and other activities to keep lands economically and environmentally sustainable, claiming that excessive preservation of legacy forests can lead to susceptibility to disease, raise wildfire risks, and reduce the stream of revenue on which schools and other public services rely. On tribal issues, Upthegrove supported strengthening the role of co-management with tribes while Beutler supported continuing Franz's creation of a tribal liaison.[11][8]

Primary election

Washington is one of two states that holds a top-two primary, meaning all candidates are listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two advance to the general election.

Democratic candidates

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

Withdrawn

Declined

Republican candidates

Advanced to general

Eliminated in primary

  • Sue Kuehl Pederson, retired utility manager and runner-up for public lands commissioner in 2020[12]

Endorsements

Sue Kuehl Pederson (R)
Mona Das (D) (withdrawn)

State legislators

Local officials

Rebecca Saldaña (D) (withdrawn)

Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Patrick
DePoe (D)
Jaime Herrera
Beutler (R)
Allen
Lebovitz (D)
Sue Kuehl
Pederson (R)
Dave
Upthegrove (D)
Kevin Van
De Wege (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[37][A] July 24–25, 2024 581 (LV) ± 4.0% 4% 18% 3% 12% 6% 5% 5%[b] 48%
Public Policy Polling (D)[38][A] May 15–16, 2024 615 (LV) ± 4.0% 1% 16% 5% 12% 4% 2% 58%
Public Policy Polling (D)[39][A] November 14–15, 2023 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 5% 18% 14% 3% 2% 11%[c] 48%

Forum

2024 Washington Public Lands Commissioner primary candidate forum
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Democratic Republican Republican Democratic Democratic Democratic
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Anderson DePoe Herrera
Beutler
Kuehl
Pederson
Lebovitz Upthegrove Van De Wege
1 Jul. 18, 2024 League of Women Voters of Washington
The Columbian
The Reflector
Craig Brown TVW P P P P P P P

Results

A top-two primary took place on August 6. All candidates were listed on the same ballot regardless of party affiliation, and the top two advanced to the general election in November. Results were certified by county canvassing boards on August 20, showing Democrat Dave Upthegrove in second place, with a margin of only 51 votes (0.0027% of the total votes) over Republican Sue Kuehl Pederson, enough to trigger an automatic hand recount per Washington state laws.[40][9]

On September 3, hand recounts returned with Upthegrove holding a 53-vote margin over Pederson.[34][41] Results were certified on September 4, with Dave Upthegrove holding a final margin of 49 votes over Sue Kuehl Pederson, ensuring that Democrats would not be locked out of the general election.[42][10]

Blanket primary results by county
  Herrera Beutler
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  Upthegrove
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  Pederson
  •   20–30%
  •   30–40%
  •   40–50%
  Van De Wege
  •   20–30%
Blanket primary election results[43]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jaime Herrera Beutler 419,309 22.033
Democratic Dave Upthegrove 396,304 20.824
Republican Sue Kuehl Pederson 396,255 20.821
Democratic Patrick DePoe 267,944 14.079
Democratic Allen Lebovitz 194,118 10.200
Democratic Kevin Van De Wege 143,174 7.523
Democratic Jeralee Anderson 84,353 4.432
Write-in 1,658 0.087
Total votes 1,903,115 100.0

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[d]
Margin
of error
Dave
Upthegrove (D)
Jaime
Herrera Beutler (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[44][A] October 16–17, 2024 571 (LV) ± 4.1% 46% 38% 16%
Strategies 360[45] October 11–16, 2024 600 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 38% 15%
Cascade PBS/Elway Research[46] October 8–12, 2024 401 (LV) ± 5.0% 41% 35% 24%

Debates & forums

2024 Washington Public Lands Commissioner debates & candidate forums
No. Date Host Moderator Link Democratic Republican
Key:
 P  Participant   A  Absent   N  Not invited   I  Invited  W  Withdrawn
Dave Upthegrove Jaime Herrera Beutler
1 Sep. 18, 2024 Association of Washington Business Bill Lucia TVW P P
2 Sep. 25, 2024 League of Women Voters of Washington
and Benton-Franklin Counties
Northwest Public Broadcasting
Matt Loveless YouTube P P
3 Oct. 2, 2024 The Impact Mike McClanahan TVW P P
4 Oct. 7, 2024 Society of American Foresters Samantha Chang TVW P P

Results

2024 Washington Public Lands Commissioner election[47]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Dave Upthegrove 1,969,936 52.62% −4.07%
Republican Jaime Herrera Beutler 1,765,121 47.15% +3.94%
Write-in 8,394 0.22% +0.12%
Total votes 3,743,451 100.00% N/A
Democratic hold

By county

County results
County[48] Dave Upthegrove

Democratic

Jaime Herrera Beutler

Republican

Write-in

Various

Margin Total votes
# % # % # % # %
Adams 1,182 22.92% 3,962 76.81% 14 0.27% -2,780 -53.90% 5,158
Asotin 3,395 31.12% 7,493 68.69% 20 0.18% -4,098 -37.57% 10,908
Benton 31,896 33.06% 64,393 66.73% 203 0.21% -32,497 -33.68% 96,492
Chelan 15,304 38.08% 24,828 61.78% 54 0.13% -9,524 -23.70% 40,186
Clallam 23,010 49.17% 23,699 50.64% 91 0.19% -689 -1.47% 46,800
Clark 122,529 47.03% 136,098 52.24% 1,916 0.74% -13,569 -5.21% 260,543
Columbia 535 22.58% 1,827 77.12% 7 0.30% -1,292 -54.54% 2,369
Cowlitz 19,536 34.38% 36,881 64.90% 409 0.72% -17,345 -30.52% 56,826
Douglas 6,326 31.18% 13,921 68.62% 41 0.20% -7,595 -37.44% 20,288
Ferry 1,105 27.78% 2,866 72.05% 7 0.18% -1,761 -44.27% 3,978
Franklin 10,443 34.11% 20,127 65.74% 46 0.15% -9,684 -31.63% 30,616
Garfield 243 18.63% 1,060 81.29% 1 0.08% -817 -62.65% 1,304
Grant 9,190 26.56% 25,336 73.23% 73 0.21% -16,146 -46.67% 34,599
Grays Harbor 15,110 41.76% 20,997 58.02% 80 0.22% -5,887 -16.27% 36,187
Island 26,330 52.14% 24,074 47.67% 99 0.20% 2,256 4.47% 50,503
Jefferson 16,360 67.96% 7,687 31.93% 27 0.11% 8,673 36.03% 24,074
King 730,900 67.87% 344,616 32.00% 1,474 0.14% 386,284 35.87% 1,076,990
Kitsap 81,860 54.44% 68,301 45.42% 213 0.14% 13,559 9.02% 150,374
Kittitas 8,943 35.50% 16,206 64.32% 45 0.18% -7,263 -28.83% 25,194
Klickitat 5,112 39.52% 7,739 59.83% 85 0.66% -2,627 -20.31% 12,936
Lewis 12,024 27.68% 31,165 71.73% 258 0.59% -19,141 -44.06% 43,447
Lincoln 1,274 18.39% 5,642 81.45% 11 0.16% -4,368 -63.06% 6,927
Mason 15,518 44.08% 19,599 55.68% 85 0.24% -4,081 -11.59% 35,202
Okanogan 7,371 36.93% 12,538 62.83% 48 0.24% -5,167 -25.89% 19,957
Pacific 5,747 41.93% 7,885 57.53% 74 0.54% -2,138 -15.60% 13,706
Pend Oreille 2,184 26.47% 6,050 73.32% 18 0.22% -3,866 -46.85% 8,252
Pierce 209,423 49.75% 210,804 50.08% 732 0.17% -1,381 -0.33% 420,959
San Juan 8,770 71.22% 3,517 28.56% 27 0.22% 5,253 42.66% 12,314
Skagit 32,131 48.13% 34,495 51.67% 128 0.19% -2,364 -3.54% 66,754
Skamania 2,690 38.61% 4,209 60.40% 69 0.99% -1,519 -21.80% 6,968
Snohomish 209,235 53.08% 184,349 46.77% 613 0.16% 24,886 6.31% 394,197
Spokane 113,724 41.47% 159,989 58.34% 500 0.18% -46,265 -16.87% 274,213
Stevens 6,371 23.15% 21,105 76.68% 46 0.17% -14,734 -53.54% 27,522
Thurston 84,851 53.69% 72,860 46.10% 330 0.21% 11,991 7.59% 158,041
Wahkiakum 985 33.44% 1,935 65.68% 26 0.88% -950 -32.25% 2,946
Walla Walla 11,222 39.36% 17,263 60.55% 24 0.08% -6,041 -21.19% 28,509
Whatcom 76,452 57.73% 55,808 42.14% 175 0.13% 20,644 15.59% 132,435
Whitman 9,122 47.41% 10,080 52.39% 37 0.19% -958 -4.98% 19,239
Yakima 31,533 36.86% 53,717 62.80% 288 0.34% -22,184 -25.93% 85,538
Totals 1,969,936 52.62% 1,765,121 47.15% 8,394 0.22% 204,815 5.47% 3,743,451

By congressional district

Upthegrove won six of ten congressional districts, with the remaining four going to Herrera Beutler, including two that elected Democrats.[49]

District Upthegrove Herrera Beutler Representative
1st 57% 43% Suzan DelBene
2nd 56% 44% Rick Larsen
3rd 42% 57% Marie Gluesenkamp Perez
4th 34% 66% Dan Newhouse
5th 39% 61% Cathy McMorris Rodgers (118th Congress)
Michael Baumgartner (119th Congress)
6th 54% 46% Derek Kilmer (118th Congress)
Emily Randall (119th Congress)
7th 79% 21% Pramila Jayapal
8th 46% 54% Kim Schrier
9th 65% 35% Adam Smith
10th 53% 47% Marilyn Strickland

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ Jeralee Anderson (D) with 5%
  3. ^ Rebecca Saldaña (D) with 6%; Mona Das (D) with 5%
  4. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

Partisan clients

  1. ^ a b c d Poll conducted for The Cascadia Advocate

References

  1. ^ "Upthegrove elected WA lands commissioner". The Seattle Times. November 7, 2024. Retrieved November 9, 2024.
  2. ^ "2024 State Primary Election Dates". www.ncsl.org. Retrieved August 6, 2023.
  3. ^ "Washington Public Lands Commissioner Hilary Franz announces run for governor". AP News. May 10, 2023. Retrieved November 8, 2024.
  4. ^ Cornfield, Jerry (November 10, 2023). "Franz halts bid for WA governor, sets sights on Congress • Washington State Standard". Washington State Standard. Retrieved November 8, 2024.
  5. ^ Robertson, Kipp (September 3, 2024). "Upthegrove will advance to November election for commissioner of public lands after hand recount". king5.com. Retrieved November 8, 2024.
  6. ^ a b Brunner, Jim (November 10, 2023). "WA lands commissioner Hilary Franz drops out of governor's race to run for Congress". The Seattle Times. Retrieved November 10, 2023.
  7. ^ Greenstone, Scott (July 31, 2024). "Will the race for Washington land commissioner come down to two Republicans?". www.kuow.org. Retrieved October 21, 2024.
  8. ^ a b Buhain, Venice (September 18, 2024). "5 takeaways from the WA public lands commissioner debate | Cascade PBS". www.cascadepbs.org. Retrieved October 21, 2024.
  9. ^ a b Lucia, Bill (August 21, 2024). "Washington lands commissioner race heads toward recount • Washington State Standard". Washington State Standard. Retrieved August 21, 2024.
  10. ^ a b Villeneuve, Andrew (September 4, 2024). "Dave Upthegrove emerges victorious from hand recount in tight Lands Commissioner race". NPI's Cascadia Advocate. Retrieved September 4, 2024.
  11. ^ Demkovich, Laurel (October 16, 2024). "Herrera Beutler and Upthegrove square-off in WA lands commissioner debate". Washington State Standard. Retrieved October 21, 2024 – via Oregon Public Broadcasting.
  12. ^ a b c d e Villeneuve, Andrew (July 6, 2023). "Mona Das formally launches 2024 candidacy for Washington Commissioner of Public Lands". The Cascadia Advocate. Retrieved November 12, 2023.
  13. ^ "PRIMARY 2024 Candidate List". voter.votewa.gov. Retrieved May 11, 2024.
  14. ^ a b c Sowersby, Shauna (September 8, 2023). "Makah Tribal member Patrick DePoe announces bid for WA public lands commissioner". The Olympian.
  15. ^ a b c Withycombe, Claire (April 11, 2024). "Sen. Saldaña suspends campaign for WA lands commissioner". The Seattle Times. Retrieved April 11, 2024.
  16. ^ Haas, Ryan (October 10, 2023). "Former US Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler confirms run for Washington lands commissioner". Oregon Public Broadcasting. Retrieved November 12, 2023.
  17. ^ a b c https://www.tri-cityherald.com/news/politics-government/election/article292975944.html
  18. ^ Roland, Mitchell (April 10, 2024). "Joe Kent endorses Jaime Herrera Beutler's bid for public lands post". The Chronicle. Retrieved April 12, 2024.
  19. ^ "IUPAT DC5 Endorses Washington Primary Candidates".
  20. ^ "Endorsements". Mainstream Republicans of Washington. May 5, 2024. Retrieved August 8, 2024.
  21. ^ "Jaime Herrera Beutler Endorsed by Washington Council of Police and Sheriffs - Former Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler Campaign Press Release | LegiStorm".
  22. ^ https://wsfb.com/media/dynamic/files/798-2024-wfb-pac-general-election-endorsements.pdf
  23. ^ "In Our View: Herrera Beutler for commissioner of public lands".
  24. ^ "Editorial: Herrera Beutler best to lead public lands mission". October 8, 2024.
  25. ^ "Here's who the Seattle Times editorial board recommends for WA lands commissioner | Editorial". October 15, 2024.
  26. ^ "Candidates hold competing visions for managing WA public lands in a changing climate". October 15, 2024.
  27. ^ Nir, David (April 22, 2024). "Daily Kos Elections Live Digest: 4/22". Daily Kos. Retrieved April 22, 2024.
  28. ^ "2024 Endorsements". Washington Education Association. Retrieved July 20, 2024.
  29. ^ "Colville Tribes endorse Patrick DePoe for commissioner of public lands of Washington". Source ONE. October 23, 2023. Retrieved July 20, 2024.
  30. ^ "The Seattle Times editorial board recommends: Patrick DePoe for public lands commissioner". The Seattle Times. June 28, 2024. Retrieved July 20, 2024.
  31. ^ Villenueve, Andrew (May 24, 2024). "Democratic Party still at risk of general election lockout in 2024 Commissioner of Public Lands race, NPI poll finds". The Cascadia Advocate. Retrieved June 1, 2024.
  32. ^ "3.14 Action Fund Endorses Dave Upthegrove for Washington State Land Commissioner" (PDF). 314 Action. October 5, 2023. Retrieved June 23, 2024.
  33. ^ LeDonne, Sarah. "LGBTQ+ Victory Fund Endorses 23 More Candidates for 2023 and 2024". LGBTQ+ Victory Fund. Retrieved November 12, 2023.
  34. ^ a b Breda, Isabella; Zhou, Amanda (September 3, 2024). "WA lands commissioner recount results: Democrat Upthegrove poised to advance to general". The Seattle Times. Retrieved September 4, 2024.
  35. ^ "The Stranger's Endorsements for the August, 6, 2024 Primary Election". July 31, 2024.
  36. ^ "Latino Victory Fund Endorses Emily Randall for Congress and Rebecca Saldaña for Public Lands Commissioner". Latino Victory. February 28, 2024. Retrieved March 1, 2024.
  37. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  38. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  39. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  40. ^ Hunter, Steve (August 20, 2024). "Upthegrove has 51-vote lead for 2nd in state lands commissioner race". Kent Reporter. Retrieved August 21, 2024.
  41. ^ Buhain, Venice (September 3, 2024). "Upthegrove retains spot in Public Lands general election race". Cascade PBS. Retrieved September 4, 2024.
  42. ^ "Upthegrove advances in WA Commissioner of Public Lands race after statewide recount". Yahoo News. September 4, 2024. Retrieved September 4, 2024.
  43. ^ Hobbs, Steve (September 4, 2024). "Amended Canvass of the Returns of the Primary Held on August 6, 2024" (PDF). Secretary of State of Washington. Archived (PDF) from the original on July 4, 2025. Retrieved July 15, 2025.
  44. ^ Public Policy Polling (D)
  45. ^ Strategies 360
  46. ^ Cascade PBS/Elway Research
  47. ^ Hobbs, Steve (December 4, 2024). "Canvass of the Returns of the General Election Held on November 5, 2024" (PDF). Secretary of State of Washington. Archived (PDF) from the original on July 4, 2025. Retrieved July 14, 2025.
  48. ^ Hobbs, Steve (November 5, 2024). "Commissioner of Public Lands - County Results". Secretary of State of Washington. Archived from the original on May 29, 2025. Retrieved July 23, 2025.
  49. ^ "2024Gen Results by Congressional District" (PDF). sos.wa.gov. Archived (PDF) from the original on December 28, 2024.


Official campaign websites