Stephen Miran
Stephen Miran | |
---|---|
![]() Official portrait, 2025 | |
Member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors | |
Nominee | |
Assuming office TBD | |
President | Donald Trump |
Succeeding | Adriana Kugler |
32nd Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers | |
Assumed office March 13, 2025 | |
President | Donald Trump |
Preceded by | Jared Bernstein |
Personal details | |
Born | Stephen Ira Miran June 1983 (age 42) Pearl River, New York, U.S. |
Education | |
Scientific career | |
Fields | Economics Public policy |
Thesis | Essays on Household Saving Behavior and Fiscal Policy (2010) |
Doctoral advisor | Martin Feldstein |
Stephen Ira Miran (/maɪrʌn/; MY-run;[1] born June 1983) is an American economist who has served as the chair of the Council of Economic Advisers since 2025.
Miran graduated from Boston University with a bachelor's degree in economics and philosophy and from Harvard University with a doctorate in economics in 2010. After graduating from Harvard, he worked for Lily Pond Capital Management as an analyst, later joining Fidelity Investments and Sovarnum Capital. Miran became the head of macroeconomic strategy at Sovarnum in 2015. In April 2020, amid the COVID-19 pandemic, he served as a senior advisor for economic strategy at the United States Department of the Treasury. After Joe Biden's inauguration in January 2021, Miran returned to private sector, co-founding Amberwave Partners. Miran joined Hudson Bay Capital Management as a senior strategist in February 2024.
In December 2024, president Donald Trump named Miran as his nominee for chair of the Council of Economic Advisers. He was confirmed by the United States Senate in March 2025. After Federal Reserve governor Adriana Kugler announced her resignation in August, Trump named Miran as his nominee to succeed Kugler.
Early life and education (1983–2010)
Stephen Ira Miran[2] was born in June 1983[3] in Pearl River, New York.[4] Miran was the son of Dan and Jane Miran.[5] Dan and Jane were civil servants who met at the Social Security Administration.[6] Miran graduated salutatorian from Nanuet Senior High School in May 2001.[7] In high school, he conducted[4] and was named to the area music festival as a senior.[8] Miran was a National Merit finalist.[9] He attended Boston University, initially majoring in biochemistry[7] but switching to economics and philosophy with a minor in math.[10] Miran was inducted into the College of Arts and Sciences's chapter of Phi Beta Kappa.[11] He graduated summa cum laude[10] from Boston University[12] and from Harvard University with a doctorate in economics in 2010.[13] His doctoral advisors at Harvard included David Cutler, who served in the Clinton administration,[13] and Martin Feldstein, who served as Ronald Reagan's chair of the Council of Economic Advisers from 1982 to 1984.[6]
Career
Private sector analyst and portfolio manager (2010–2020)
After graduating from Harvard, Miran worked for Lily Pond Capital Management as an analyst.[6] He worked for Fidelity Investments two years later and joined Sovarnum Capital as a portfolio manager in November 2014.[14] In 2015,[6] Miran became the head of macroeconomic strategy at Sovarnum.[10] He resigned in March 2020.[10]
Department of the Treasury and return to the private sector (2020–2025)
In April 2020, amid the COVID-19 pandemic, Miran served as a senior advisor for economic strategy at the United States Department of the Treasury.[15] His work involved influencing the CARES Act. Miran resigned after Joe Biden's inauguration in January 2021.[6] Miran co-founded a firm, Amberwave Partners,[12] with Dan Katz, whom he had met at the Department of Treasury.[6] In 2023, he left Amberwave to join the Manhattan Institute. Miran contributed articles to the Manhattan Institute's City Journal, The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, and the Financial Times.[6] He joined Hudson Bay Capital Management as a senior strategist in February 2024.[12]
Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (2025–present)
In February 2024, Scott Bessent began supporting Donald Trump's 2024 presidential campaign. He sought out Miran to support him.[1] Miran donated US$1,000 to Never Surrender, a pro-Trump political action committee, and an additional US$1,000 to Trump 47, a joint fund-raising committee, that year.[12] On December 22, Trump named Miran as his nominee for chair of the Council of Economic Advisers.[12] In January 2025, Bloomberg News reported that Miran was among several Trump advisors studying gradual tariff hikes using the International Emergency Economic Powers Act.[16] He appeared before the Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs on February 27. Miran affirmed his support for tariffs to encourage investment.[17] On March 6, the Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs voted to advance his nomination 13–11 along party lines.[18] Miran was confirmed by the Senate on March 12.[19]
As chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Miran developed Trump's tariff policies;[20] the Financial Times described him as an "architect" of Trump's tariffs.[21] Miran's practices defied optimistic projections and early data.[20] In response to concerns that the Council of Economic Advisers's gross domestic product estimation of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act was relatively high, Miran stated that other models had been inaccurate in the past.[22]
Federal Reserve Board of Governors
On August 7, 2025, Trump named Miran as his nominee to succeed Adriana Kugler as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.[23] Miran would occupy the seat through Kugler's remaining term, set to expire in January 2026. The decision occurred as Trump had stated his intention to replace Jerome Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve; Trump signaled that he would seek a "permanent replacement" who could succeed Powell. The move gave Trump additional time to consider Powell's successor.[24] According to analysts from JPMorgan Chase, the yield curve could steepen if Miran is confirmed.[25] His nomination occurred amid the Senate's recess, scheduled to conclude in September.[23] According to The New York Times, while his tenure was set to conclude within months, Miran would be able to influence discussions surrounding interest rates and Powell's successor.[26]
Views
Fiscal and monetary issues
In July 2024, Miran and the economist Nouriel Roubini accused secretary of the treasury Janet Yellen of manipulating Treasury securities to lower borrowing costs, particularly by relying on short-dated bills and allegedly causing the equivalent of a percentage point reduction in the federal funds rate. Yellen rejected the paper's claim in an interview with Bloomberg News.[27]
In March 2024, Miran and Dan Katz called for reforms to the Federal Reserve, including decreasing the terms of members from fourteen years to eight years, allowing members to be fired by the president, and allowing state governors to appoint Federal Reserve bank board members.[28] Miran criticized Jerome Powell, the chair of the Federal Reserve, for encouraging Congress to pursue a large fiscal stimulus in October 2020, amid the COVID-19 pandemic.[29]
Miran supported the permanent tax cuts instituted by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act to incentivize expanded labor supply, investments, and manufacturing capacity.[30] He praised the bill for creating jobs that would give Medicare recipients private insurance.[31]
Trade and industrial policy
In November 2024, Miran published a report for Hudson Bay Capital Management titled "A User's Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System".[13] The paper largely formed the basis for the Mar-a-Lago Accord, a proposed economic and trade initiative.[32] Miran advocated for a "restructuring of the global trading system". He argued that the strong dollar policy had harmed manufacturing in the United States.[33] To weaken the United States dollar, Miran proposed selling the United States's gold reserve and investing in foreign currencies.[34] Miran is a proponent of tariffs and has argued that broad levies do not cause inflation, owing to a stronger exchange rate.[35] The document received renewed attention leading up to Miran's confirmation.[1]
Miran is a critic of the economic policy of the Joe Biden administration.[36] In August 2021, he warned that the Build Back Better Act would worsen the inflation surge.[28] Miran detailed his criticisms in a Manhattan Institute article in February 2024, primarily involving Biden's subsidies for electric cars and regulations on labor and the environment. He suggested that industrial policy should be motivated by the defense industry and should focus on supply-side reforms.[37]
Government affairs
In August 2025, after Trump fired the commissioner of labor statistics, Erika McEntarfer, Miran told Axios that the Bureau of Labor Statistics needed reform, though he did not explicitly concur with Trump's claim that McEntarfer had manipulated statistics to politically bolster Joe Biden.[38]
References
- ^ a b c Mohsin 2025a.
- ^ 《特朗普贸易战2.0:解读关税大棒对中港台的影响》。BBC News.
- ^ Stephen I Miran I in the U.S., Index to Public Records, 1994-2019.
- ^ a b "Musical education offers many lessons". The Journal News.
- ^ Woller & Naim 2004.
- ^ a b c d e f g Tully 2025.
- ^ a b "Valedictorians & salutatorians". The Journal News.
- ^ "School events". The Journal News (2000).
- ^ "School events". The Journal News (2001).
- ^ a b c d "Amberwave Invest USA JSG Fund". Securities and Exchange Commission, p. 17.
- ^ "Campus Notes". The Journal News.
- ^ a b c d e Friedman 2024.
- ^ a b c Ip 2025.
- ^ "Amberwave Invest USA JSG Fund". Securities and Exchange Commission, p. 16–17.
- ^ "Amberwave Invest USA JSG Fund". Securities and Exchange Commission, p. 16.
- ^ Leonard & Mohsin 2025.
- ^ Flatley 2025.
- ^ Sutton 2025.
- ^ McKenna 2025.
- ^ a b Smith & Romm 2025.
- ^ Jones 2025.
- ^ Romm 2025a.
- ^ a b Mohsin 2025b.
- ^ Omeokwe & Capurro 2025.
- ^ Hirai 2025.
- ^ Smith 2025.
- ^ Condon 2024.
- ^ a b McCarthy & Harty 2024.
- ^ Chávez 2025.
- ^ Irwin 2025a.
- ^ Romm 2025b.
- ^ McCormick 2025.
- ^ Scott 2025.
- ^ Ryan, Li & Mohsin 2025.
- ^ Rappeport 2025.
- ^ Stokols, Egan & Ukenye 2023.
- ^ Irwin 2025b.
- ^ Brown 2025.
Works cited
Articles
- Brown, Courtenay (August 1, 2025). "Top White House economist: I believe jobs numbers, but agency needs fixes". Axios. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- "Campus Notes". The Journal News. December 16, 2004. Retrieved August 7, 2025.
- Chávez, Steff (February 24, 2025). "Democrats demand Donald Trump nominee commit to Fed's independence". Financial Times. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Condon, Christopher (July 26, 2024). "Yellen Rejects Roubini Claim of 'Manipulation' in Treasuries". Bloomberg News. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Flatley, Daniel (February 27, 2025). "US Can Be 'Fabulous Economy' With Tariffs, Trump Aide Says". Bloomberg News. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Friedman, Lisa (December 22, 2024). "Trump Picks a Former Treasury Official as His Top Economist". The New York Times. Retrieved August 7, 2025.
- Hirai, James (August 8, 2025). "JPMorgan Says Treasury Curve Can Steepen on Miran Fed Pick". Bloomberg News. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Ip, Greg (January 12, 2025). "Trump's New Economist Makes the Case for 20% Tariffs". The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved August 7, 2025.
- Irwin, Neil (January 4, 2025). "How Trump might rewire Bidenomics". Axios. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Irwin, Neil (May 20, 2025). "White House forecasts "big, beautiful bill" would drive stunning economic growth". Axios. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Jones, Claire (August 7, 2025). "Donald Trump to nominate Stephen Miran to Federal Reserve board". Financial Times. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Leonard, Jenny; Mohsin, Saleha (January 13, 2025). "Trump Team Studies Gradual Tariff Hikes Under Emergency Powers". Bloomberg News. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- McCarthy, Mia; Harty, Declan (December 22, 2024). "Stephen Miran is Trump's pick to lead Council of Economic Advisers". Politico. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- McCormick, Liz (February 20, 2025). "'Mar-a-Lago Accord' Chatter Is Getting Wall Street's Attention". Bloomberg News. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- McKenna, Greg (March 13, 2025). "Trump's chief economist has a blueprint to force countries to pay for tariffs without reigniting inflation, but he says the path to success is narrow". Fortune. Retrieved August 7, 2025.
- Mohsin, Saleha (February 26, 2025). "Trump's Big-Picture Economist Already Has Wall Street Hooked". Bloomberg News. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Mohsin, Saleha (August 7, 2025). "Trump Names Miran to Fill Seat on Federal Reserve Board". Bloomberg News. Retrieved August 7, 2025.
- "Musical education offers many lessons". The Journal News. August 14, 1998. Retrieved August 7, 2025.
- Omeokwe, Amara; Capurro, Maria (August 7, 2025). "Trump's Surprise Fed Pick Buys Him Time on Chair Selection". Bloomberg News. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Rappeport, Alan (January 20, 2025). "Trump Agenda Heralds an Economic Experiment for the U.S." The Wall Street Journal. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Romm, Tony (June 4, 2025). "Republicans Try to Discredit Experts Warning About the Cost of Tax Cuts". The New York Times. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Romm, Tony (July 1, 2025). "Poorest Americans Dealt Biggest Blow Under Senate Republican Tax Package". The New York Times. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Ryan, Jack; Li, Yvonne; Mohsin, Saleha (February 13, 2025). "Wall Street Talk of Revaluing US Gold Is Drawing Attention — and Skepticism". Bloomberg News. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- "School events". The Journal News. December 25, 2000. Retrieved August 7, 2025.
- "School events". The Journal News. March 19, 2001. Retrieved August 7, 2025.
- Scott, Malcolm (February 1, 2025). "Trump's Options for Dealing With His Dollar 'Dilemma'". Bloomberg News. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Smith, Colby (August 8, 2025). "'A Loyalist Inside the Building': Trump's Temporary Fed Pick Could Have a Lasting Effect". The New York Times. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Smith, Colby; Romm, Tony (August 7, 2025). "Trump Taps Top Economic Adviser to Join the Fed's Board of Governors". The New York Times. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Stokols, Eli; Egan, Lauren; Ukenye, Lawrence (September 20, 2023). "Tom Perez, wachya doin?". Politico. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- Sutton, Sam (March 6, 2025). "Senate panel clears Miran for vote to become Trump economic adviser". Politico Pro. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
- "特朗普贸易战2.0:解读关税大棒对中港台的影响" [Trump's trade war 2.0: Understanding the impact of tariffs on China, Hong Kong, Taiwan] (in Simplified Chinese). BBC News. February 20, 2025. Retrieved August 7, 2025.
- Tully, Shawn (May 29, 2025). "How Stephen Miran—a Harvard-trained former free market champion—became Trump's top ideologue on tariffs". Fortune. Retrieved August 7, 2025.
- "Valedictorians & salutatorians". The Journal News. June 17, 2001. Retrieved August 7, 2025.
- Woller, Barbara; Naim, Dana (December 27, 2004). "Return: Many if not happy". The Journal News. Retrieved August 7, 2025.
- Xie, Yihui (August 7, 2025). "Gold Set for Biggest Weekly Gain in a Month on Fed Governor Pick". Bloomberg News. Retrieved August 8, 2025.
Documents
- "Amberwave Invest USA JSG Fund" (Document). Securities and Exchange Commission.
- "Stephen I Miran I in the U.S., Index to Public Records, 1994-2019" (Document). Index to Public Records.