2025 Estonian municipal elections
Municipal elections in Estonia will be held on 19 October 2025.[1] These will be the first municipal elections since the restoration of independence where citizens of non-EU countries (including citizens of Russia and Belarus), who are not also citizens of Estonia, can't vote. These will also be the last municipal elections since the restoration of independence where non-citizens can vote.
Polling and projections
Polling and seat projection numbers presented for dates following 26 March 2025 account for only the voting eligibility of citizens of Estonia, the EU and non-citizens. Numbers presented before account for the voting rights of all eligible permanent residents, including the citizens of Russia and Belarus without the citizenship of Estonia.
Tallinn
Seat projections
| Polling firm | Fieldwork Date | Kesk | Ref | EKRE | E200 | SDE | Isamaa | Parem | Others | Lead | Gov.[a] | Opp. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norstat/ÜI MRP[b] | 21 July-4 August 2025 | 32 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 35 | 44 |
| Ref leaves the coalition but continues to provide confidence support | ||||||||||||
| Norstat/ÜI MRP[b] | 30 June-14 July 2025 | 34 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 38 | 41 |
| Ref rejoins the coalition | ||||||||||||
| Ref is expelled from the coalition | ||||||||||||
| Turu-uuringute AS/SALK | 10 March-14 June 2025 | 29 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 43 | 36 |
| Norstat/ÜI MRP[b] | 19 May-2 June 2025 | 31 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 38 | 41 |
| Norstat/ÜI MRP[b] | 21 Apr-5 May 2025 | 33 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 14 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 40 | 39 |
| Norstat/ÜI MRP[b] | 24 Mar-7 Apr 2025 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 41 | 38 |
| 26 Mar 2025 | Riigikogu votes to amend the Constitution to restrict municipal voting rights to just citizens of Estonia, the EU and non-citizens. | |||||||||||
| Norstat/ÜI MRP[b] | 17 Feb-3 Mar 2025 | 34 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 11 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 37 | 42 |
| Norstat/ÜI MRP[b] | 3-17 Feb 2025 | 31 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 12 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 40 | 39 |
| Coalition government is formed by Ref, E200, SDE, and Isamaa with Jevgeni Ossinovski as Mayor | ||||||||||||
| Coalition government is formed by Kesk and SDE with Mihhail Kõlvart as Mayor | ||||||||||||
| Election Results | 17 Oct 2021 | 38 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 38 | 41 | |
Results
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All 79 seats to Tallinn City Council 40 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Nationwide
| Party | |
|---|---|
| Estonian Centre Party | |
| Electoral coalitions | |
| Estonian Reform Party | |
| Conservative People's Party of Estonia | |
| Isamaa | |
| Estonia 200 | |
| Social Democratic Party | |
| Estonian Greens | |
| Independents | |
| Total | |
Notes
- ^ Includes support
- ^ a b c d e f g The MRP projection page states that "while both our poll weighting methodology (verified in EP elections) and MRP (validated by international pollsters) have a strong track record individually, their combination for Estonian local elections is still experimental. The ratings contain uncertainty ranges and the results should be interpreted as informed estimates, not precise predictions."
- ^ a b Presumed mayoral candidate[2]
References
- ^ "Valimistoimingud ja tähtajad | Valimised Eestis". www.valimised.ee. Retrieved 2025-02-06.
- ^ ERR, Anne Raiste | (2025-02-04). "Tallinnas hakkavad selguma erakondade linnapeakandidaadid". ERR (in Estonian). Retrieved 2025-02-06.