2022 Wyoming gubernatorial election

2022 Wyoming gubernatorial election

November 8, 2022
Turnout66.59% Decrease
 
Nominee Mark Gordon Theresa Livingston Write-in
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 143,696 30,686 11,461
Percentage 74.07% 15.82% 5.91%

County results
Gordon:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

Governor before election

Mark Gordon
Republican

Elected Governor

Mark Gordon
Republican

The 2022 Wyoming gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Wyoming. Incumbent Republican governor Mark Gordon won a second term against Democratic Wyoming State Facilities Commission member Theresa Livingston.

Livingston's vote percentage was the lowest for a Democratic candidate running for governor in Wyoming since it was admitted to the union in 1890, falling short of Leslie Petersen's 22.90% performance in 2010. Gordon won by the widest margin in the state's history, winning by 58 points and becoming the first Republican to win every county since 2010.

Livingston's 15.8% of the vote was the weakest performance by a major party nominee in any state since that of Republican Dan Maes in Colorado in 2010; however, that election featured a candidate from the Constitution Party taking 36.38% of the vote. Livingston's performance was also the worst in a contested race between only the two major parties since Republican Elvin McCary's 14.8% in Alabama in 1974.

Republican primary

Veterinarian Rex Rammell finished third in the primary.

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Declined

Endorsements

Mark Gordon

State officials

Individuals

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Brent
Bien
Mark
Gordon
James
Quick
Rex
Rammell
Undecided
University of Wyoming[8] Jul 25 – Aug 6, 2022 562 (LV) ± 4.1% 14% 54% 1% 4% 28%

Results

Results by county:
  Gordon
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Bien
  •   40–50%
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mark Gordon (incumbent) 101,092 61.7
Republican Brent Bien 48,549 29.7
Republican Rex Rammell 9,373 5.7
Republican James Scott Quick 4,725 2.9
Total votes 163,739 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

  • Theresa Livingston, member of the Wyoming State School Facilities Commission[9]

Eliminated in primary

  • Rex Wilde, cabinet maker and perennial candidate[10]

Results

Results by county:
  Livingston
  •   50–60%
  •   60–70%
  •   70–80%
  •   80–90%
  Livingston-Wilde tie
  •   40–50%
Democratic primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Theresa Livingston 4,989 71.2
Democratic Rex Wilde 2,016 28.8
Total votes 7,005 100.0

Libertarian convention

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Though Brent Bien had lost in the Republican primary to Mark Gordon, Bien's supporters ran a write-in campaign for him in the general election.[12]

Candidates

  • Mark Gordon (Republican), incumbent governor[12]
  • Theresa Livingston (Democratic), member of the Wyoming State School Facilities Commission[12]
  • Brent Brien (Republican, write-in), civil engineer, retired U.S. Marine Corps colonel, and candidate in the Republican primary[12]
  • Jared Baldes (Libertarian)[12]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Solid R July 26, 2022
Inside Elections[14] Solid R July 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R June 29, 2022
Politico[16] Solid R April 1, 2022
RCP[17] Safe R January 10, 2022
Fox News[18] Solid R May 12, 2022
538[19] Solid R July 31, 2022
Elections Daily[20] Safe R November 7, 2022

Results

2022 Wyoming gubernatorial election[21][22]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Mark Gordon (incumbent) 143,696 74.07% +6.95%
Democratic Theresa Livingston 30,686 15.82% −11.72%
Write-in 11,461 5.91% +5.37%
Libertarian Jared Baldes 8,157 4.20% +2.72%
Total votes 194,000 100.0%
Turnout 198,198 66.59%
Registered electors 297,639
Republican hold

By county

Source[21]

County Mark Gordon
Republican
Theresa Livingston
Democratic
Write-in Jared Baldes
Libertarian
Margin Total
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Albany 7,462 59.22% 4,143 32.88% 611 4.85% 384 3.05% 3,319 26.34% 12,600
Big Horn 3,529 83.25% 305 7.20% 249 5.87% 156 3.68% 3,224 76.06% 4,239
Campbell 9,787 79.82% 757 6.17% 880 7.18% 838 6.83% 8,907[b] 72.64% 12,262
Carbon 3,681 78.27% 598 12.72% 191 4.06% 233 4.95% 3,083 65.55% 4,703
Converse 3,796 76.27% 355 7.13% 536 10.77% 290 5.83% 3,441[b] 69.14% 4,977
Crook 2,516 77.46% 200 6.16% 359 11.05% 173 5.33% 2,157[b] 66.41% 3,248
Fremont 9,866 73.64% 1,939 14.47% 719 5.37% 802 5.99% 7,927 59.17% 13,398
Goshen 3,972 82.53% 440 9.14% 211 4.38% 190 3.95% 3,532 73.38% 4,813
Hot Springs 1,525 70.24% 218 10.04% 331 15.25% 97 4.47% 1,194[b] 55.00% 2,171
Johnson 3,182 82.33% 268 6.93% 299 7.74% 116 3.00% 2,883[b] 74.59% 3,865
Laramie 22,067 73.78% 5,765 19.27% 1,014 3.39% 1,065 3.56% 16,302 54.50% 29,911
Lincoln 6,021 80.47% 699 9.34% 488 6.52% 274 3.66% 5,322 71.13% 7,482
Natrona 17,246 76.68% 3,303 14.69% 898 3.99% 1,044 4.64% 13,943 61.99% 22,491
Niobrara 704 67.24% 46 4.39% 251 23.97% 46 4.39% 407[b] 24.83% 1,047
Park 9,700 76.39% 1,286 10.13% 1,284 10.11% 428 3.37% 8,414 66.26% 12,698
Platte 2,915 74.34% 411 10.48% 402 10.25% 193 4.92% 2,504 63.86% 3,921
Sheridan 9,335 76.57% 1,616 13.26% 871 7.14% 369 3.03% 7,719 63.32% 12,191
Sublette 2,899 81.80% 341 9.62% 181 5.11% 123 3.47% 2,558 72.18% 3,544
Sweetwater 8,827 74.07% 1,871 15.70% 688 5.77% 531 4.46% 6,956 58.37% 11,917
Teton 4,943 48.72% 4,926 48.55% 51 0.50% 226 2.23% 17 0.17% 10,146
Uinta 5,224 79.20% 754 11.43% 349 5.29% 269 4.08% 4,470 67.77% 6,596
Washakie 2,466 80.99% 267 8.77% 171 5.62% 141 4.63% 2,199 72.22% 3,045
Weston 2,033 74.33% 178 6.51% 355 12.98% 169 6.18% 1,678[b] 61.35% 2,735
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. ^ a b c d e f g In counties where the write-in votes placed second, ahead of Livingston, the margin given is Gordon's vote and percentage minus the write-in vote and percentage.

References

  1. ^ Eavis, Victoria (April 4, 2022). "Gov. Mark Gordon announces reelection bid in positive speech". trib.com. Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved April 6, 2022.
  2. ^ a b c d "Primary Election Candidate Roster". Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved May 27, 2022.
  3. ^ Reynolds, Nick (March 25, 2021). "Rex Rammell announces 2022 bid for Wyoming governor". Casper Star-Tribune. Archived from the original on May 24, 2021. Retrieved June 27, 2021.
  4. ^ Drake, Kerry (August 17, 2021). "Gov. Mark Gordon may be the biggest winner of Cheney's race". WyoFile.
  5. ^ "Smith Suspends Congressional Campaign; Knapp And Bouchard Stay In; Gray Silent". Cowboy State Daily. September 9, 2021.
  6. ^ "South Dakota governor Noem endorses Mark Gordon's reelection bid in Wyoming primary". August 4, 2022.
  7. ^ "Foster Friess widow gives Wyoming Gov. Mark Gordon her endorsement". July 28, 2022.
  8. ^ University of Wyoming
  9. ^ Pomeroy, Karla (May 26, 2022). "Worland woman announces bid for governor". Northern Wyoming News.
  10. ^ Wolfson, Leo (June 10, 2022). "Wyoming Democrat Gubernatorial Candidate Rex Wilde Focuses On Water". Retrieved June 12, 2022.
  11. ^ Wyoming Secretary of State (September 6, 2022). "2022 General Election Candidate Roster" (PDF). Retrieved September 7, 2022.
  12. ^ a b c d e Wolfson, Leo (November 8, 2022). "Wyoming Gov. Mark Gordon Wins Second Term". Cowboy State Daily. Retrieved December 15, 2024.
  13. ^ "2022 Governor Race Ratings". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved February 4, 2021.
  14. ^ "Gubernatorial Ratings". Inside Elections. Retrieved February 19, 2021.
  15. ^ "2022 Gubernatorial race ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved March 11, 2021.
  16. ^ "Wyoming Governor Race 2022". Politico. April 1, 2022.
  17. ^ "2022 Governor Races". RCP. January 10, 2022. Retrieved January 10, 2022.
  18. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". Fox News. May 12, 2022. Retrieved May 12, 2022.
  19. ^ "2022 Election Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. June 30, 2022. Archived from the original on June 30, 2022. Retrieved June 30, 2022.
  20. ^ Szymanski, Joe (November 7, 2022). "Elections Daily Unveils Final 2022 Midterm Ratings". Elections Daily. Retrieved November 28, 2022.
  21. ^ a b "Statewide Candidates Unofficial Summary Wyoming General Election - November 8, 2022" (PDF).
  22. ^ "Wyoming Voter Registration and Voter Turnout Statistics" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved January 28, 2023.

Official campaign websites